Thursday, August 10, 2017

How Retailers can Perform Analysis: Plastic Packaging and Commodity (Steel & Aluminium)

Even though we are merely retailers, we should be a knowledgable one. 

Who says that retailers are destined to lose money in the share market? Well, for me, i never believe in those myths... The more people agrees to the fact, the more eager i want to prove them wrong. In fact, i think that there are no right or wrong in the market, only INVESTMENT DECISIONS matter... And along the time, our investment decisions will be proven.

How do we make our investment decisions? Based on guts feeling? Based on rumours and speculations? Based on facts and figures? Based on research? Even though i m a retailer, but i am myself's fund manager. I manage my own fund and i invest based on facts and figures. Pareto Law says that, 20% are winning money while the 80% are losing money to those 20%. If we want to win in the stock market, we should stop becoming the 80% and turn into 20%. 

We often see the stock analysts' reports. Their reports are very detailed and some even have chances to visit the CEO or the chairman of the listed companies. They have all the sophisticated software or tool to calculate and compare the financial information. Their news are always the most up to date. But for us, as retailers, we only have the chances to meet the bosses in the AGM and pose them our burning questions. Whenever a news was released, the retailers are the always the last one to know, the stock had been speculated before and that is the only time retailers went in. Ended up, retailers lose money.

Here i would like to stress that retailers can also perform the stock analysis, as professional as those stock analysts. Do not be discouraged even though we are retailers. This should not stop our passion towards investing. Whatever the stock analysts can do, we can do it like them too, we can emulate their analysis method, thus reduce our investment risks. Now let me share my experience and analysis method on how retailers can perform analysis.

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Sunday, June 18, 2017

ARANK - Post Q3 2017 Result

ARANK first appeared in my blog on 30 March 2017. You can also click HERE to view my first post about ARANK. ARANK's A-RANKed Mission Impossible??? Well, i think its possible, because I M POSSIBLE~

1. Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and Net Profit for ARANK from malaysia stock biz [2]
ARANK announced the Q3 2017 result on 15 June 2017. Both revenue and net profit shown positive improvement in both qoq and yoy. Revenue increased  +4% qoq and +4% yoy respectively while net profit increased +4% qoq and +18% yoy respectively.

The increase in revenue is due to higher average selling price as a result of the increase in the raw material costs although the business volume was lower[3]. From this statement, i can see that the management is transferring the cost to the end user. The worrying factor will be the lower business volume, which might signifies flat growth or declining growth. However, the management highlighted 3 points in the prospects. First is the recovery in the commodity prices as external demand improves. Second is their business is affected by the weakening RM but our RM is getting stronger if compared to last quarter. Third is the volatility of aluminium has added uncertainties to their business. The point 1 and 2 are on ARANK's side. While for bullet point number 3, i will share my views based on data i collected in my Projection Analysis sector.

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Monday, June 12, 2017

少埋怨,买股票!

今天和以后就来一点特别的。小弟将用华语来选股和分析股票。如果我的华语写得不好或很好笑,请多点醒我~谢谢。

马来西亚最近很多金钱游戏的新闻,解救普通人,世界未来首富,等等。。。但是,这些解救和首富永远都是别人,轮不到我们这些平明拼命的百姓。每天努力谋财,但是财永远都不够。今天,我就在这里揭开一个解救普通人,帮助成为未来富有人的方法,那就是买股票
保持冷静~
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Thursday, June 8, 2017

Price Volume Analysis - MMSV, JFTECH, FPGROUP, OKA, OCK, OCNCASH

The most important Technical Analysis for me is the Price Volume Analysis. The Price Action needs to be supported or validated by Volume

Volume reveals activity. Volume reveals the truth behind the Price Action. Volume validates Price. If the price went up without Volume, hence, we need to be careful as the Price might not sustain. 

We try to identify the pattern of a few successful breakout examples. The similar patterns that i had identified as below: 
1. Notice the days with high volume.
2. Identify the closing zones of candles (Zone 1).
3. If the chart had been sideways, there might be chance.
4. Prefer to breakout the resistances with volume.

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Friday, May 12, 2017

散户可以如何进行市场调查 - OLDTOWN


即使我们只是区区的小散户,但是也要做一个有知识的散户

我一直强调,一直强调这句话。不要以为我们是散户,就在股市里只有被鳄鱼操控,任别人摆布,没有机会在股市里立足落地生根。不要把股市当作是一个有钱人的游戏,有钱人才可以赚钱,穷人进入股市就输钱。这些统统都是不对的看法。我之前有写过投资的虚构道理。(可以点击这里观看)[1]这些虚构道理,就是从别人嘴里听来的,不要那么快下定论,放弃了翻身赚钱的机会。

在这个日新月异,科技发达的时代里,我们要寻找资料或者知识几乎都不是问题。问题是在于我们所读的资料是否属实或者是被捏造出来的。所以像我之前所说的,当我们在审查的时候,我们应该问连续性的“为什么”“为什么”“为什么”至少三次

我们常常看着银行股票分析家(analyst)的报告。他们的报告写得非常的详细,甚至可以预测到未来的营业额和数据。那些分析家有机会去探望上市公司老板,也可以得知最新消息。但是身为散户的我们只有在股东大会时有机会和老板们发问问题。在出席股东大会,可能有太多人了,我们也没有机会发文问题。散户们知道的新闻往往可以说是后知后觉,或者已经被炒后剩下的新闻。
股票分析家

但是,这些挫折,不应该是停止散户们对投资的热忱。我们可以应用其他方法进行我们的是市场调查。你和我都是一样的。散户的资金是有限的,而且我们投资的钱都是血汗钱。现在,就让我和大家分享散户如何可以进行散户的市场调查。我将会用OLDTOWN来进行我们的研究案件。

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你将会在最快时间内收到我的最新股选和最新的文章。